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Qual 762018 Orange County Regional
Red445
3309184.3
5805153.3
6955122.2
Blue195
4056119.3
4415144.3
5512105.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions388240100200300500600700445195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3309
#1
184.34.7
166.1→170.9
Auto24.6
Teleop130.1
End34.4
red by 39.9
4415
#14
144.31.5
140.9→142.4
Auto20.4
Teleop103.3
End24.8
Second
5805
#4
153.31.4
141.7→143.1
Auto18.7
Teleop112.0
End27.8
red by 34.0
4056
#42
119.30.0
119.5→119.4
Auto12.3
Teleop93.7
End13.4
Third
6955
#26
122.22.5
112.3→114.8
Auto16.4
Teleop92.4
End12.3
red by 17.3
5512
#43
105.00.2
105.2→105.0
Auto14.7
Teleop80.8
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed