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Red351
294156.3
2496107.1
696089.8
Blue319
5857123.1
4161110.3
329583.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3242060100400500600351319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#6
156.35.5
144.1149.7
Auto20.7
Teleop123.0
End15.7
red by 33.2
5857
#33
123.11.2
118.1119.2
Auto13.4
Teleop98.8
End14.0
Second
107.12.4
101.3103.7
Auto17.7
Teleop81.9
End10.4
blue by 3.2
4161
#48
110.30.9
110.4109.5
Auto15.5
Teleop83.5
End12.2
Third
6960
#50
89.81.7
92.190.4
Auto13.0
Teleop71.3
End8.2
red by 6.4
3295
#51
83.41.1
83.982.8
Auto13.7
Teleop67.7
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned5%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed