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Red156
4972131.6
1197153.6
696133.7
Blue386
1726144.0
5124148.8
4133.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3043250100200400500600700156386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.61.2
152.4153.6
Auto15.8
Teleop115.0
End25.2
red by 4.8
148.80.7
146.8147.5
Auto14.9
Teleop118.7
End13.8
Second
696
#25
133.70.6
133.1133.7
Auto15.2
Teleop107.1
End12.4
blue by 10.3
144.00.6
142.4143.0
Auto17.1
Teleop110.6
End16.2
Third
4972
#12
131.60.3
131.2131.6
Auto12.7
Teleop102.1
End19.5
blue by 1.6
4
#44
133.10.5
131.5132.1
Auto14.8
Teleop102.1
End15.7