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Red347
687152.8
3512163.7
1452116.8
Blue308
6833136.6
5285127.1
3863129.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345314200250300400450500347308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.70.8
160.5161.4
Auto17.6
Teleop119.5
End29.1
red by 27.1
6833
#15
136.61.4
134.0135.4
Auto13.5
Teleop100.0
End27.4
Second
687
#3
152.81.1
148.6149.7
Auto22.5
Teleop117.9
End12.8
red by 23.7
3863
#36
129.10.4
128.4128.7
Auto14.6
Teleop100.7
End13.7
Third
1452
#22
116.80.4
115.4115.7
Auto18.6
Teleop87.0
End12.1
blue by 10.3
5285
#10
127.11.1
124.9126.1
Auto15.6
Teleop100.5
End11.5