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Quarterfinal 3-22018 Los Angeles Regional
Red410
687152.8
3512163.7
1452116.8
Blue277
6833136.6
5285127.1
3863129.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345315200250300400450500410277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3512
#2
163.70.8
161.4→162.2
Auto17.6
Teleop119.5
End29.1
red by 27.1
6833
#15
136.61.3
135.4→136.6
Auto13.5
Teleop100.0
End27.4
Second
687
#3
152.81.0
149.7→150.7
Auto22.5
Teleop117.9
End12.8
red by 23.7
3863
#36
129.10.4
128.7→129.1
Auto14.6
Teleop100.7
End13.7
Third
1452
#22
116.80.3
115.7→116.1
Auto18.6
Teleop87.0
End12.1
blue by 10.3
5285
#10
127.11.1
126.1→127.1
Auto15.6
Teleop100.5
End11.5