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Red242
2584121.0
4123108.8
6668112.7
Blue238
4913119.7
4019127.8
4972131.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2732650100200300400500242238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2584
#16
121.017.6
60.177.7
Auto16.8
Teleop99.0
End5.4
blue by 10.6
4972
#12
131.617.6
60.177.7
Auto12.7
Teleop102.1
End19.5
Second
6668
#26
112.715.4
80.495.7
Auto16.7
Teleop89.8
End8.5
blue by 15.1
4019
#11
127.817.5
61.078.5
Auto16.5
Teleop94.7
End21.3
Third
4123
#33
108.817.0
65.682.6
Auto13.4
Teleop84.4
End16.2
blue by 10.9
4913
#29
119.715.5
79.094.5
Auto16.9
Teleop92.7
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed