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Red282
1197153.6
4141114.0
5285127.1
Blue251
3863129.1
2710125.7
7185112.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2962490100200400500600282251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.614.4
88.9103.3
Auto15.8
Teleop115.0
End25.2
red by 24.5
3863
#36
129.116.1
73.589.6
Auto14.6
Teleop100.7
End13.7
Second
5285
#10
127.116.2
73.189.3
Auto15.6
Teleop100.5
End11.5
red by 1.5
2710
#14
125.771.1
148.977.7
Auto15.1
Teleop102.6
End11.2
Third
4141
#24
114.017.0
65.782.7
Auto14.7
Teleop88.1
End13.0
red by 1.2
7185
#45
112.835.1
112.877.7
Auto14.6
Teleop88.2
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed