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Red224
691592.7
980131.2
693898.5
Blue90
86791.1
665895.4
576594.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26526210015020025022490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
980
#18
131.216.4
71.187.5
Auto13.2
Teleop100.5
End15.9
red by 35.8
6658
#46
95.418.4
53.271.6
Auto12.8
Teleop76.5
End1.4
Second
6938
#51
98.520.7
98.577.7
Auto13.1
Teleop80.7
End7.8
red by 4.3
5765
#34
94.116.5
70.586.9
Auto12.9
Teleop74.5
End10.0
Third
6915
#40
92.715.0
92.777.7
Auto12.3
Teleop82.6
End-2.8
red by 1.6
867
#54
91.117.0
65.282.3
Auto13.1
Teleop73.0
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed