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Red322
3512163.7
848112.1
2404100.8
Blue261
6668112.7
2493116.9
968138.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions269289100200400500322261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.710.2
109.7119.9
Auto17.6
Teleop119.5
End29.1
red by 25.2
968
#13
138.61.1
131.5132.5
Auto17.1
Teleop107.7
End12.7
Second
848
#43
112.113.4
85.098.4
Auto14.3
Teleop83.5
End10.8
blue by 4.8
2493
#48
116.98.4
98.8107.1
Auto14.3
Teleop89.0
End14.5
Third
2404
#19
100.88.0
77.785.7
Auto15.8
Teleop74.6
End13.0
blue by 11.9
6668
#26
112.77.5
95.7103.2
Auto16.7
Teleop89.8
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed