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Red268
7042104.8
687152.8
5124148.8
Blue137
691121.1
3863129.1
3408106.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277249100200300400500268137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#3
152.89.5
86.896.3
Auto22.5
Teleop117.9
End12.8
red by 23.7
3863
#36
129.19.8
89.699.4
Auto14.6
Teleop100.7
End13.7
Second
148.811.3
106.8118.1
Auto14.9
Teleop118.7
End13.8
red by 27.7
691
#28
121.111.6
85.797.3
Auto16.0
Teleop91.0
End15.8
Third
7042
#23
104.89.4
77.787.2
Auto12.8
Teleop87.4
End2.7
blue by 1.7
3408
#30
106.58.0
82.690.6
Auto14.8
Teleop85.5
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed