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Red195
696133.7
6833136.6
510788.9
Blue208
3952104.3
2710125.7
589107.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27223950100150200300350400450195208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6833
#15
136.613.7
77.791.5
Auto13.5
Teleop100.0
End27.4
red by 11.0
2710
#14
125.710.8
77.788.5
Auto15.1
Teleop102.6
End11.2
Second
696
#25
133.76.8
108.9115.8
Auto15.2
Teleop107.1
End12.4
red by 26.3
589
#20
107.511.4
88.399.6
Auto15.2
Teleop85.9
End5.0
Third
5107
#52
88.98.4
78.386.8
Auto12.1
Teleop71.8
End1.7
blue by 15.4
3952
#37
104.39.0
72.381.3
Auto14.9
Teleop81.6
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed