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Red359
599132.3
1452116.8
5802170.3
Blue188
5510115.8
6000107.4
2584121.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3192230100200400500359188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.311.0
111.7122.8
Auto23.1
Teleop121.4
End27.8
red by 49.3
2584
#16
121.09.0
77.786.8
Auto16.8
Teleop99.0
End5.4
Second
599
#21
132.310.8
102.1112.9
Auto16.6
Teleop95.8
End19.9
red by 16.5
5510
#47
115.811.4
87.699.0
Auto13.9
Teleop84.9
End23.3
Third
1452
#22
116.81.1
114.0112.9
Auto18.6
Teleop87.0
End12.1
red by 9.4
6000
#42
107.48.0
77.185.1
Auto12.0
Teleop83.9
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed