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Red220
580128.1
5851118.0
2496102.3
Blue270
576594.1
7185112.8
4133.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2762510100200400500600700800220270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
580
#17
128.113.0
86.499.4
Auto15.5
Teleop93.1
End19.6
blue by 5.0
4
#44
133.18.6
98.1106.7
Auto14.8
Teleop102.1
End15.7
Second
5851
#27
118.08.4
98.0106.4
Auto15.3
Teleop88.1
End15.2
red by 5.2
7185
#45
112.810.8
77.788.5
Auto14.6
Teleop88.2
End11.2
Third
2496
#53
102.36.9
90.196.9
Auto15.4
Teleop78.8
End6.5
red by 8.1
5765
#34
94.18.3
86.995.2
Auto12.9
Teleop74.5
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed