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Red207
2584121.0
5818153.8
5285127.1
Blue322
980131.2
5851118.0
691121.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277267200220240300320340360207322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.89.4
118.6128.0
Auto20.2
Teleop121.1
End10.9
red by 22.6
980
#18
131.27.7
97.8105.4
Auto13.2
Teleop100.5
End15.9
Second
5285
#10
127.17.1
101.4108.5
Auto15.6
Teleop100.5
End11.5
red by 6.0
691
#28
121.16.2
97.3103.4
Auto16.0
Teleop91.0
End15.8
Third
2584
#16
121.05.7
86.892.5
Auto16.8
Teleop99.0
End5.4
red by 2.9
5851
#27
118.06.1
106.4112.5
Auto15.3
Teleop88.1
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed