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Red123
7042104.8
2496102.3
848112.1
Blue310
4763115.3
6833136.6
4141114.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266264150200300350400123310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
848
#43
112.17.1
109.5116.6
Auto14.3
Teleop83.5
End10.8
blue by 24.5
6833
#15
136.68.7
100.2108.9
Auto13.5
Teleop100.0
End27.4
Second
7042
#23
104.87.6
94.2101.9
Auto12.8
Teleop87.4
End2.7
blue by 10.6
4763
#41
115.33.0
103.9107.0
Auto12.5
Teleop86.7
End17.7
Third
2496
#53
102.30.6
102.1102.6
Auto15.4
Teleop78.8
End6.5
blue by 11.7
4141
#24
114.05.8
100.9106.7
Auto14.7
Teleop88.1
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed