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Red235
2493116.9
4133.1
3863129.1
Blue282
5089103.9
4972131.6
696133.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2372810100200400500600235282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4
#44
133.11.4
113.4114.8
Auto14.8
Teleop102.1
End15.7
blue by 0.6
696
#25
133.71.6
119.8121.4
Auto15.2
Teleop107.1
End12.4
Second
3863
#36
129.13.4
104.3107.7
Auto14.6
Teleop100.7
End13.7
blue by 2.4
4972
#12
131.68.9
98.1106.9
Auto12.7
Teleop102.1
End19.5
Third
2493
#48
116.91.4
111.6113.0
Auto14.3
Teleop89.0
End14.5
red by 12.9
5089
#38
103.90.3
104.7105.0
Auto12.8
Teleop81.5
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed