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Red329
6000107.4
980131.2
4123108.8
Blue168
5669114.7
1759102.6
510788.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233231100150200250300350329168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
980
#18
131.26.2
105.4111.6
Auto13.2
Teleop100.5
End15.9
red by 16.5
5669
#35
114.77.9
99.2107.1
Auto14.0
Teleop85.9
End15.5
Second
4123
#33
108.80.8
94.193.3
Auto13.4
Teleop84.4
End16.2
red by 6.2
1759
#39
102.65.7
85.391.0
Auto13.8
Teleop82.8
End2.4
Third
6000
#42
107.42.2
90.192.3
Auto12.0
Teleop83.9
End13.7
red by 18.5
5107
#52
88.90.0
92.092.0
Auto12.1
Teleop71.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed