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Red127
665895.4
580128.1
3952104.3
Blue375
691121.1
3512163.7
2584121.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2223030100400500600127375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
580
#17
128.18.7
108.5117.2
Auto15.5
Teleop93.1
End19.6
blue by 35.7
163.79.3
128.8138.1
Auto17.6
Teleop119.5
End29.1
Second
3952
#37
104.36.5
86.993.4
Auto14.9
Teleop81.6
End9.7
blue by 16.8
691
#28
121.15.2
103.4108.6
Auto16.0
Teleop91.0
End15.8
Third
6658
#46
95.41.4
87.388.6
Auto12.8
Teleop76.5
End1.4
blue by 25.5
2584
#16
121.01.8
92.594.3
Auto16.8
Teleop99.0
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed