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Red342
687152.8
5818153.8
2710125.7
Blue249
702133.6
5802170.3
4913119.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2613190100200400500600342249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.84.3
128.0132.4
Auto20.2
Teleop121.1
End10.9
blue by 16.5
170.310.7
132.2142.9
Auto23.1
Teleop121.4
End27.8
Second
687
#3
152.87.7
103.5111.1
Auto22.5
Teleop117.9
End12.8
red by 19.2
702
#31
133.68.1
116.4124.4
Auto15.8
Teleop99.2
End19.8
Third
2710
#14
125.77.2
95.4102.7
Auto15.1
Teleop102.6
End11.2
red by 6.0
4913
#29
119.74.1
111.0115.1
Auto16.9
Teleop92.7
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed