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Red147
3408106.5
86791.1
6668112.7
Blue216
1452116.8
5285127.1
7051129.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2182910100400500147216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6668
#26
112.70.4
107.0106.7
Auto16.7
Teleop89.8
End8.5
blue by 16.3
129.07.5
94.3101.8
Auto15.1
Teleop100.6
End13.1
Second
3408
#30
106.53.4
94.497.8
Auto14.8
Teleop85.5
End9.6
blue by 20.7
5285
#10
127.12.7
108.5111.2
Auto15.6
Teleop100.5
End11.5
Third
867
#54
91.10.8
93.894.6
Auto13.1
Teleop73.0
End5.5
blue by 25.7
1452
#22
116.80.1
113.1113.1
Auto18.6
Teleop87.0
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed