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Red115
86791.1
691121.1
2404100.8
Blue321
2710125.7
5669114.7
2493116.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions219301100400500115321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
691
#28
121.16.1
108.6114.7
Auto16.0
Teleop91.0
End15.8
blue by 4.5
2710
#14
125.77.0
102.7109.7
Auto15.1
Teleop102.6
End11.2
Second
2404
#19
100.82.7
96.599.2
Auto15.8
Teleop74.6
End13.0
blue by 16.1
2493
#48
116.92.0
113.0115.0
Auto14.3
Teleop89.0
End14.5
Third
867
#54
91.10.4
94.695.0
Auto13.1
Teleop73.0
End5.5
blue by 23.6
5669
#35
114.75.0
107.1112.1
Auto14.0
Teleop85.9
End15.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed