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Red270
606107.0
2496102.3
1452116.8
Blue160
693898.5
510788.9
702133.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions238282100200400500270160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1452
#22
116.80.3
113.1113.5
Auto18.6
Teleop87.0
End12.1
blue by 16.8
702
#31
133.63.5
124.4128.0
Auto15.8
Teleop99.2
End19.8
Second
606
#49
107.02.4
100.9103.3
Auto14.5
Teleop84.3
End9.5
red by 8.6
6938
#51
98.52.6
96.398.9
Auto13.1
Teleop80.7
End7.8
Third
2496
#53
102.32.3
102.6100.3
Auto15.4
Teleop78.8
End6.5
red by 13.4
5107
#52
88.90.1
92.092.0
Auto12.1
Teleop71.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed