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Red25
589107.5
691592.7
580128.1
Blue329
6668112.7
687152.8
1759102.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26423610020030040050025329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
580
#17
128.14.8
117.2122.0
Auto15.5
Teleop93.1
End19.6
blue by 24.7
687
#3
152.87.3
111.1118.4
Auto22.5
Teleop117.9
End12.8
Second
589
#20
107.51.3
108.1109.5
Auto15.2
Teleop85.9
End5.0
blue by 5.2
6668
#26
112.70.3
106.7106.3
Auto16.7
Teleop89.8
End8.5
Third
6915
#40
92.71.7
95.096.7
Auto12.3
Teleop82.6
End-2.8
blue by 9.9
1759
#39
102.63.6
91.094.6
Auto13.8
Teleop82.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed10%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed