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Red390
5818153.8
4763115.3
5802170.3
Blue47
3408106.5
510788.9
3952104.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331222010030040050039047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.313.4
98.3111.7
Auto23.1
Teleop121.4
End27.8
red by 63.8
3408
#30
106.517.0
65.682.6
Auto14.8
Teleop85.5
End9.6
Second
153.814.0
93.3107.2
Auto20.2
Teleop121.1
End10.9
red by 49.5
3952
#37
104.318.3
54.072.3
Auto14.9
Teleop81.6
End9.7
Third
4763
#41
115.316.6
69.486.0
Auto12.5
Teleop86.7
End17.7
red by 26.4
5107
#52
88.917.5
60.878.3
Auto12.1
Teleop71.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed