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Red255
5510115.8
691121.1
589107.5
Blue38
2496102.3
2404100.8
6000107.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2822565010015020035040045025538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
691
#28
121.116.6
69.185.7
Auto16.0
Teleop91.0
End15.8
red by 13.7
6000
#42
107.417.7
59.477.1
Auto12.0
Teleop83.9
End13.7
Second
5510
#47
115.816.4
71.287.6
Auto13.9
Teleop84.9
End23.3
red by 13.5
2496
#53
102.316.1
74.090.1
Auto15.4
Teleop78.8
End6.5
Third
589
#20
107.516.3
72.088.3
Auto15.2
Teleop85.9
End5.0
red by 6.7
2404
#19
100.817.6
60.177.7
Auto15.8
Teleop74.6
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed