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Red313
5404158.0
272148.9
3940168.2
Blue421
4476192.2
1640198.6
7028128.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313408100200500600700800313421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#28
168.20.1
166.2166.2
Auto19.2
Teleop127.1
End21.8
blue by 30.4
1640
#11
198.60.3
191.4191.2
Auto23.0
Teleop148.6
End28.1
Second
5404
#43
158.00.8
161.1160.3
Auto20.9
Teleop114.1
End21.3
blue by 34.3
4476
#30
192.20.5
193.7193.2
Auto21.4
Teleop153.9
End16.2
Third
272
#64
148.90.0
156.7156.7
Auto21.3
Teleop101.9
End23.3
red by 20.3
7028
#57
128.61.4
134.9133.4
Auto15.2
Teleop91.2
End21.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned78%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
68%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed