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Red374
103159.3
191151.2
225219.3
Blue330
5546181.2
3015186.0
5846148.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4043170200600800374330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#1
219.30.8
222.1221.3
Auto23.9
Teleop164.6
End31.5
red by 33.3
3015
#20
186.01.2
178.6179.8
Auto22.4
Teleop134.6
End29.6
Second
103
#39
159.30.3
154.7155.0
Auto18.4
Teleop130.2
End11.3
blue by 22.0
5546
#36
181.20.5
183.9183.4
Auto19.1
Teleop134.5
End27.5
Third
191
#52
151.21.5
144.9146.3
Auto23.4
Teleop103.7
End21.5
red by 2.7
5846
#16
148.61.1
149.0147.9
Auto20.6
Teleop110.1
End17.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned41%Face the Boss oddsEarned