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Red399
862183.9
3357227.4
5484142.3
Blue247
6334159.4
6806132.0
190147.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4392690100200300400500600399247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
227.41.0
229.7228.7
Auto20.9
Teleop175.9
End31.6
red by 67.9
6334
#40
159.40.3
162.5162.8
Auto24.6
Teleop112.8
End20.9
Second
862
#8
183.90.1
193.8193.6
Auto21.4
Teleop142.6
End18.9
red by 36.4
190
#44
147.41.5
135.0136.5
Auto18.8
Teleop112.9
End17.7
Third
5484
#56
142.30.5
140.5141.0
Auto16.2
Teleop105.7
End21.7
red by 10.3
6806
#63
132.01.1
133.4134.5
Auto19.4
Teleop98.0
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed