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Red676
71181.7
1507187.5
2137165.2
Blue295
467147.2
1918208.4
6909141.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions360365250300400450500550600650676295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1507
#17DQ
187.50.2
188.3188.6
Auto24.6
Teleop129.9
End33.5
blue by 21.0
1918
#10
208.40.4
214.9214.5
Auto20.1
Teleop152.1
End35.0
Second
71
#6
181.70.6
174.3174.9
Auto20.6
Teleop135.3
End25.9
red by 34.4
467
#41
147.20.7
143.1143.7
Auto17.9
Teleop110.7
End22.4
Third
2137
#24
165.20.7
159.5160.2
Auto21.1
Teleop125.3
End20.3
red by 24.2
6909
#54
141.12.2
130.4132.6
Auto15.8
Teleop108.7
End20.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
39%Face the Boss oddsEarned45%Face the Boss oddsEarned