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Red308
3357227.4
5123113.6
2234113.5
Blue354
7225179.1
2771190.1
4361157.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2973930100200500600308354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
227.41.6
227.8226.2
Auto20.9
Teleop175.9
End31.6
red by 37.2
2771
#38
190.10.7
196.1195.4
Auto22.9
Teleop140.1
End26.0
Second
5123
#46
113.60.2
112.1112.3
Auto18.5
Teleop87.1
End7.7
blue by 65.5
7225
#26
179.10.3
179.0178.7
Auto25.1
Teleop132.3
End22.5
Third
2234
#65
113.50.6
119.3118.8
Auto16.2
Teleop82.1
End15.0
blue by 43.5
4361
#18
157.00.2
155.1154.9
Auto19.3
Teleop120.7
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned98%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed39%Face the Boss oddsEarned