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Red364
2537166.9
5050204.6
6909141.1
Blue385
1816139.1
272148.9
190147.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413260100200300500600700800364385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204.61.4
192.1193.6
Auto23.7
Teleop148.9
End33.8
red by 55.7
272
#64
148.90.4
156.7156.2
Auto21.3
Teleop101.9
End23.3
Second
2537
#47
166.90.2
167.7167.9
Auto22.2
Teleop124.9
End21.7
red by 19.5
190
#44
147.40.9
136.5137.4
Auto18.8
Teleop112.9
End17.7
Third
6909
#54
141.11.5
132.6134.0
Auto15.8
Teleop108.7
End20.5
red by 2.0
1816
#25
139.10.6
133.3134.0
Auto18.7
Teleop103.9
End16.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed43%Face the Boss oddsMissed