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Red495
4004170.1
384192.1
5016118.8
Blue320
5484142.3
191151.2
3044146.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3713060100200500600700800495320

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#9
192.11.7
177.6179.4
Auto19.7
Teleop146.6
End24.2
red by 40.9
191
#52
151.21.3
146.3147.6
Auto23.4
Teleop103.7
End21.5
Second
4004
#29
170.10.4
161.5161.1
Auto19.1
Teleop134.2
End15.6
red by 23.6
3044
#61
146.50.2
148.8148.6
Auto21.5
Teleop111.2
End12.4
Third
5016
#67
118.80.8
123.5122.7
Auto15.2
Teleop93.0
End15.7
blue by 23.5
5484
#56
142.30.3
141.0141.3
Auto16.2
Teleop105.7
End21.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed