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Qual 212018 Carson Division
Red312
3015186.0
2846144.7
467147.2
Blue205
4476192.2
1100175.3
2832156.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327377100200500600700312205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3015
#20
186.01.3
179.8→181.1
Auto22.4
Teleop134.6
End29.6
blue by 6.2
4476
#30
192.20.1
193.2→193.1
Auto21.4
Teleop153.9
End16.2
Second
467
#41
147.20.2
143.7→144.0
Auto17.9
Teleop110.7
End22.4
blue by 28.1
1100
#27
175.31.0
169.2→170.2
Auto22.7
Teleop129.1
End27.4
Third
2846
#31
144.70.1
149.1→148.9
Auto19.1
Teleop112.1
End12.0
blue by 11.3
2832
#55
156.00.8
153.5→154.3
Auto20.2
Teleop109.8
End26.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
30%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed