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Red302
4253205.7
7225179.1
3624154.5
Blue514
1736184.5
1918208.4
3990199.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3444340100200300500600700800302514

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4253
#13Sur
205.70.9
220.6219.8
Auto25.7
Teleop146.8
End29.9
blue by 2.7
1918
#10
208.40.2
213.9213.7
Auto20.1
Teleop152.1
End35.0
Second
7225
#26
179.10.1
178.9179.0
Auto25.1
Teleop132.3
End22.5
blue by 20.7
3990
#35Sur
199.80.9
200.0199.1
Auto27.2
Teleop153.7
End17.1
Third
3624
#49
154.50.1
149.0149.1
Auto21.1
Teleop114.3
End21.1
blue by 30.0
1736
#12
184.50.1
179.9180.1
Auto24.9
Teleop134.4
End26.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
99%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsMissed38%Face the Boss oddsEarned