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Red246
3044146.5
6909141.1
5546181.2
Blue393
5484142.3
25214.1
6548168.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2974150100200500600700246393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5546
#36Sur
181.20.6
183.3182.7
Auto19.1
Teleop134.5
End27.5
blue by 32.8
25
#19
214.11.4
211.8213.2
Auto24.0
Teleop170.1
End17.8
Second
3044
#61
146.50.2
148.6148.4
Auto21.5
Teleop111.2
End12.4
blue by 22.1
6548
#37
168.61.8
176.3174.5
Auto19.2
Teleop116.7
End33.5
Third
6909
#54
141.11.1
134.0135.1
Auto15.8
Teleop108.7
End20.5
blue by 1.2
5484
#56Sur
142.30.3
141.3141.6
Auto16.2
Teleop105.7
End21.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed32%Face the Boss oddsMissed