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Red260
2586145.2
5123113.6
335998.7
Blue448
4476192.2
4230153.3
4130161.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1854320100300500600700260448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2586
#59
145.20.5
144.2143.7
Auto16.2
Teleop109.4
End21.0
blue by 47.1
4476
#30
192.21.3
193.1191.8
Auto21.4
Teleop153.9
End16.2
Second
5123
#46
113.60.4
112.3112.7
Auto18.5
Teleop87.1
End7.7
blue by 48.0
4130
#32
161.50.3
160.1159.7
Auto17.1
Teleop120.6
End24.9
Third
3359
#68
98.71.4
105.2103.9
Auto17.0
Teleop72.7
End9.1
blue by 54.6
4230
#48
153.30.2
152.2152.4
Auto19.1
Teleop111.0
End24.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed