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Qual 282018 Carson Division
Red251
4004170.1
71181.7
1100175.3
Blue352
5846148.6
3276187.9
2338172.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3993430100200300500600700251352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
#6
181.71.9
175.9→177.8
Auto20.6
Teleop135.3
End25.9
blue by 6.3
3276
#21
187.90.5
183.5→184.0
Auto24.0
Teleop132.2
End33.1
Second
1100
#27
175.30.4
170.2→169.7
Auto22.7
Teleop129.1
End27.4
red by 3.2
2338
#66
172.10.4
177.4→177.0
Auto23.8
Teleop119.0
End26.2
Third
4004
#29
170.10.2
161.1→161.3
Auto19.1
Teleop134.2
End15.6
red by 21.6
5846
#16
148.60.1
147.3→147.2
Auto20.6
Teleop110.1
End17.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned98%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed28%Face the Boss oddsEarned