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Qual 292018 Carson Division
Red240
2846144.7
6806132.0
5404158.0
Blue435
4145176.8
5254176.4
217226.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2644470100200300400500600700240435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5404
#43
158.00.5
159.3→158.8
Auto20.9
Teleop114.1
End21.3
blue by 68.1
217
#2
226.02.3
226.8→224.6
Auto22.3
Teleop179.2
End26.0
Second
2846
#31
144.70.1
148.9→149.0
Auto19.1
Teleop112.1
End12.0
blue by 32.0
4145
#58
176.80.4
181.9→181.5
Auto21.5
Teleop134.0
End20.0
Third
6806
#63
132.00.1
135.0→134.8
Auto19.4
Teleop98.0
End15.8
blue by 44.4
5254
#45
176.40.3
177.4→177.7
Auto19.7
Teleop130.5
End23.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsEarned