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Red384
1731189.3
1885167.8
2137165.2
Blue306
862183.9
103159.3
272148.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386328100200500600700800384306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
189.31.1
191.0192.0
Auto23.1
Teleop140.0
End27.8
red by 5.4
862
#8
183.90.8
193.4192.6
Auto21.4
Teleop142.6
End18.9
Second
1885
#34
167.80.8
168.1167.3
Auto17.9
Teleop127.4
End25.1
red by 8.5
103
#39
159.30.8
155.4156.2
Auto18.4
Teleop130.2
End11.3
Third
2137
#24
165.20.7
161.3162.0
Auto21.1
Teleop125.3
End20.3
red by 16.3
272
#64
148.90.1
156.2156.4
Auto21.3
Teleop101.9
End23.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsMissed19%Face the Boss oddsMissed