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Red486
225219.3
384192.1
3936137.6
Blue206
7028128.6
2537166.9
88167.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4092740100200500600486206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#1
219.30.9
220.8219.9
Auto23.9
Teleop164.6
End31.5
red by 51.5
88
#23
167.81.4
161.4162.9
Auto19.9
Teleop131.6
End17.1
Second
384
#9
192.11.9
179.4181.3
Auto19.7
Teleop146.6
End24.2
red by 25.1
2537
#47
166.90.1
167.9168.0
Auto22.2
Teleop124.9
End21.7
Third
3936
#42
137.60.4
132.7132.3
Auto18.5
Teleop99.6
End18.9
red by 9.0
7028
#57
128.61.7
132.9131.1
Auto15.2
Teleop91.2
End21.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned55%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
25%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed