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Red255
3990199.8
3936137.6
3624154.5
Blue376
25214.1
335998.7
3276187.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341383200300500600255376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3990
#35
199.80.4
199.9200.3
Auto27.2
Teleop153.7
End17.1
blue by 14.3
25
#19
214.10.3
211.2211.5
Auto24.0
Teleop170.1
End17.8
Second
3624
#49
154.51.5
146.8148.3
Auto21.1
Teleop114.3
End21.1
blue by 33.4
3276
#21
187.91.3
181.0182.4
Auto24.0
Teleop132.2
End33.1
Third
3936
#42
137.60.2
133.5133.3
Auto18.5
Teleop99.6
End18.9
red by 38.9
3359
#68
98.70.9
106.7105.8
Auto17.0
Teleop72.7
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed