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Red384
2502169.1
4130161.5
133212.7
Blue268
2987167.4
2771190.1
3044146.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394362200300500600384268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#14
212.71.0
214.1213.1
Auto23.7
Teleop155.7
End32.7
red by 22.5
2771
#38
190.10.1
196.0196.1
Auto22.9
Teleop140.1
End26.0
Second
169.10.2
164.0164.3
Auto22.7
Teleop115.2
End32.6
red by 1.7
2987
#51
167.41.0
162.3163.3
Auto20.8
Teleop124.9
End21.6
Third
4130
#32
161.50.1
160.3160.2
Auto17.1
Teleop120.6
End24.9
red by 15.1
3044
#61
146.50.6
148.2148.8
Auto21.5
Teleop111.2
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
99%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
68%Face the Boss oddsMissed29%Face the Boss oddsMissed