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Red292
5123113.6
3604164.1
6548168.6
Blue291
1885167.8
4145176.8
5016118.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340347200250300400450292291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6548
#37
168.61.1
178.9177.8
Auto19.2
Teleop116.7
End33.5
blue by 8.2
4145
#58
176.80.3
181.6181.9
Auto21.5
Teleop134.0
End20.0
Second
3604
#60
164.10.5
177.9177.4
Auto19.3
Teleop120.7
End20.7
blue by 3.6
1885
#34
167.80.5
167.6168.1
Auto17.9
Teleop127.4
End25.1
Third
5123
#46
113.60.8
111.3112.1
Auto18.5
Teleop87.1
End7.7
blue by 5.2
5016
#67
118.80.6
124.1123.5
Auto15.2
Teleop93.0
End15.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsMissed81%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
28%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed