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Qual 382018 Carson Division
Red190
5016118.8
2234113.5
1731189.3
Blue414
5404158.0
467147.2
2586145.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328316200250300350400190414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1731
#7
189.30.9
192.0→193.0
Auto23.1
Teleop140.0
End27.8
red by 31.3
5404
#43
158.00.5
158.8→158.3
Auto20.9
Teleop114.1
End21.3
Second
5016
#67
118.80.2
122.6→122.5
Auto15.2
Teleop93.0
End15.7
blue by 28.5
467
#41
147.20.6
144.3→143.7
Auto17.9
Teleop110.7
End22.4
Third
2234
#65
113.50.3
118.6→118.3
Auto16.2
Teleop82.1
End15.0
blue by 31.6
2586
#59
145.20.2
143.7→143.5
Auto16.2
Teleop109.4
End21.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed29%Face the Boss oddsMissed