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Red445
4967169.4
5254176.4
7028128.6
Blue464
6880157.9
6334159.4
4253205.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2664270200600800445464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5254
#45
176.40.6
177.7178.4
Auto19.7
Teleop130.5
End23.6
blue by 29.3
4253
#13
205.71.1
219.8218.7
Auto25.7
Teleop146.8
End29.9
Second
4967
#22
169.40.1
166.0165.9
Auto25.4
Teleop117.4
End27.1
red by 9.9
6334
#40
159.40.9
162.2161.3
Auto24.6
Teleop112.8
End20.9
Third
7028
#57
128.61.7
131.1129.5
Auto15.2
Teleop91.2
End21.4
blue by 29.3
6880
#53
157.90.6
152.4153.0
Auto18.0
Teleop122.4
End16.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned99%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
40%Face the Boss oddsMissed25%Face the Boss oddsEarned