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Qual 402018 Carson Division
Red435
1736184.5
3276187.9
4004170.1
Blue243
3015186.0
272148.9
3604164.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3813680100200300500600700800435243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3276
#21
187.90.4
184.0→184.4
Auto24.0
Teleop132.2
End33.1
red by 1.9
3015
#20
186.01.1
182.2→183.3
Auto22.4
Teleop134.6
End29.6
Second
1736
#12
184.50.3
180.1→180.4
Auto24.9
Teleop134.4
End26.9
red by 20.4
3604
#60
164.11.2
175.5→174.3
Auto19.3
Teleop120.7
End20.7
Third
4004
#29
170.10.8
161.3→160.6
Auto19.1
Teleop134.2
End15.6
red by 21.2
272
#64
148.90.3
156.4→156.1
Auto21.3
Teleop101.9
End23.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed68%Face the Boss oddsMissed