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Red337
5484142.3
1816139.1
3940168.2
Blue291
2338172.1
88167.8
5123113.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31234702004006008001,000337291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#28
168.20.1
165.6165.5
Auto19.2
Teleop127.1
End21.8
blue by 3.9
2338
#66
172.10.3
177.0176.7
Auto23.8
Teleop119.0
End26.2
Second
5484
#56
142.30.2
141.6141.8
Auto16.2
Teleop105.7
End21.7
blue by 25.6
88
#23
167.80.6
162.9163.5
Auto19.9
Teleop131.6
End17.1
Third
1816
#25
139.11.2
135.0136.2
Auto18.7
Teleop103.9
End16.9
red by 25.5
5123
#46
113.60.5
112.7113.2
Auto18.5
Teleop87.1
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed