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Qual 472018 Carson Division
Red356
6880157.9
4145176.8
1100175.3
Blue290
2771190.1
5484142.3
4230153.3
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38333202006008001,0001,200356290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4145
#58
176.80.9
181.6→180.7
Auto21.5
Teleop134.0
End20.0
blue by 13.4
2771
#38
190.10.7
195.4→194.6
Auto22.9
Teleop140.1
End26.0
Second
1100
#27
175.30.6
168.4→169.1
Auto22.7
Teleop129.1
End27.4
red by 22.0
4230
#48
153.30.4
152.7→153.1
Auto19.1
Teleop111.0
End24.9
Third
6880
#53
157.90.7
153.0→153.7
Auto18.0
Teleop122.4
End16.3
red by 15.6
5484
#56
142.30.3
141.8→142.1
Auto16.2
Teleop105.7
End21.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsMissed27%Face the Boss oddsMissed