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Red377
2832156.0
3015186.0
1885167.8
Blue403
5546181.2
2586145.2
1731189.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3423770100200300500600700800377403

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3015
#20
186.00.1
183.3183.3
Auto22.4
Teleop134.6
End29.6
blue by 3.3
189.30.1
193.0192.8
Auto23.1
Teleop140.0
End27.8
Second
1885
#34
167.81.0
166.7165.7
Auto17.9
Teleop127.4
End25.1
blue by 13.5
5546
#36
181.20.6
181.6181.0
Auto19.1
Teleop134.5
End27.5
Third
2832
#55
156.00.3
153.2152.9
Auto20.2
Teleop109.8
End26.3
red by 10.9
2586
#59
145.20.2
143.5143.7
Auto16.2
Teleop109.4
End21.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
32%Face the Boss oddsEarned33%Face the Boss oddsEarned