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Red391
6548168.6
5505197.8
3624154.5
Blue307
2537166.9
5404158.0
6334159.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3773370200600800391307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#15
197.80.9
200.2199.4
Auto21.0
Teleop150.1
End26.8
red by 30.8
2537
#47
166.90.2
167.5167.4
Auto22.2
Teleop124.9
End21.7
Second
6548
#37
168.61.1
173.1172.0
Auto19.2
Teleop116.7
End33.5
red by 9.2
6334
#40
159.40.4
161.3160.9
Auto24.6
Teleop112.8
End20.9
Third
3624
#49
154.50.8
148.7149.5
Auto21.1
Teleop114.3
End21.1
blue by 3.4
5404
#43
158.00.1
158.3158.2
Auto20.9
Teleop114.1
End21.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
33%Face the Boss oddsEarned39%Face the Boss oddsMissed